On Saturday evening, Arsenal will host Brentford in an attempt to sustain pressure on Liverpool and Manchester City with three points.
Top 3 markets | Best odds at bookmakers |
Arsenal to win: ⚽ | 1.24 at Bet9ja |
Both teams to score : 🥅 | 1.92 at 1xbet |
Arsenal to win both halves: ✅ | 2.37 at Sportybet |
Arsenal and Brentford: Previous Games
In November, these two teams met at the Gtech Community Stadium in an exceedingly close contest; Kai Havertz’s 88th-minute header secured a 1-0 victory for the Gunners. On that particular day, these two teams accumulated xG values of 1.66 and 1.83, respectively. Regrettably, the Bees failed to earn a point.
Brentford have since won a mere three of fourteen Premier League matches, including a solitary victory away from home on February 10 against Wolves. The core of their challenges lies in their inability to capitalize on opportunities; the Bees have fallen short of their xG value of 43.0 by -5.8 goals. This season, they have also performed poorly defensively, allowing 50 goals and claiming only 45.40% of the time.
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Additionally, in nine of their previous eleven EPL matches, they have conceded two or more goals, so a trip to the Emirates to face a free-scoring Arsenal has arguably arrived at the worst possible moment. The Gunners have achieved a league maximum of 4.19 goal-creating actions per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Furthermore, in their last seven matches, they have scored 31 goals from a mere 19.03 yards of xG.
Probable Arsenal Lineup
Ramsdale; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Kiwior; Odegaard, Jorginho, Rice; Saka, Havertz, Trossard
Probable Brentford Lineup
Flekken; Zanka, Collins, Ajer; Roerslev, Janelt, Jensen, Norgaard, Reguilon; Wissa, Toney
Betting tips: Arsenal x Brentford
Check out our predictions of the day for Arsenal vs Brentford
Prediction 1: Arsenal x Brentford / Arsenal to win
It is unreasonable to expect an out-of-sorts Brentford squad that is without two of its starting central defenders to mount much of a challenge to Arsenal’s mesmerizing attacking unit, which is also vengeful for the events of the previous season.
Arteta’s squad will undoubtedly prevail over an injury-plagued Bees squad to take the lead in the standings. Brentford, who have scored multiple goals in three of their last four away matches, may find the Gunners’ defence at the Emirates somewhat porous, giving them some optimism.
Prediction 2: Arsenal x Brentford / Both teams to score
At this point, the Gunners have scored more goals than any other English Premier League team. In their previous seven league games, Arsenal have allowed four goals per game on average, yet they have room to improve defensively, particularly at home. Brentford has scored in twelve of their last thirteen games, and Arteta’s squad has failed to maintain a clean sheet in four of their last five home matches. I’m picking Brentford to score against Arteta’s squad.
Prediction 3: Arsenal x Brentford / Arsenal to win both halves
Brentford have been held to a 10–13 record in Premier League play. Their only victories came in draws with Wolves and Nottingham Forest, and their most recent draw with Chelsea did prevent a three–game losing streak.
Additionally, they have suffered nine road defeats in thirteen Premier League away matches this season, with Sheffield United (10) being the only team in the division to have more road losses prior to this weekend’s matches.
Brentford must exert maximum effort to silence Arsenal’s attackers, but they will also be up against the most formidable defence in the division.
Remarkably, Arsenal have allowed their opponents to score a mere 2.12 expected goals (xG) in seven Premier League matches (2024), which is only three goals conceded. This is nearly five fewer than Manchester City, the division’s second-best defence in 2024 (7.08 xGA in eight games).